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Aaron7 comments on Timeless Identity - Less Wrong

23 Post author: Eliezer_Yudkowsky 03 June 2008 08:16AM

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Comment author: Aaron7 05 June 2008 12:05:00AM -1 points [-]

Clearly, due to the butterfly effect, storms will be highly influenced by quantum randomness. If we reset the world to 5 years ago and put every molecule on the same track, New Orleans would not have been destroyed in almost all cases.

No, no, no. The vast majority will have New Orleans destroyed, but in slightly different ways. Yes, weather is chaotic, but it evolves in fairly set ways. The original Lorenz attractor is chaotic, but it has a definite shape that recurs.

Comment author: Luke_A_Somers 29 May 2012 03:33:20PM 0 points [-]

... therefore, you can predict that some hurricanes will occur in the area, but not precisely where they will be. The original statement is correct.