thomblake comments on Magical Categories - Less Wrong
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I poked around in Google Books; the earliest clear reference I found was the 2000 Cartwright book Intelligent data analysis in science, which seems to attribute it to the TV show Horizon. (No further info - just snippet view.)
Here is one supposedly from 1998, though it's hardly academic.
A Redditor provides not one but two versions from "Embarrassing mistakes in perceptron research", Marvin Minsky, recorded 29-31 Jan 2011:
While the Italian story seems to be true since Minsky says he knew the Italian and personally spotted how the neural net was overfitting, he just recounts the urban legend as 'an institution'; there is a new twist, though, that this time it's the exposure of the photographic film rather than the forest or clouds or something.