Connection Theory (CT) is the original philosophy underpinning Leverage Research, a research think tank focused that has worked with the effective altruism movement, and the rationality community, in the past on community-building, and existential risk reduction. CT was developed by Leverage's executive director, Geoff Anders. Since there are few if any other publicly available online resources for understanding or evaluating CT, I thought I would share this document.
It would help a lot to include a link to some description of what CT actually claims, before I read a description that asserts it should be evaluated based on evidence + elegance (and mentions, but doesn't seem to define, usefulness).
I only skimmed the document, but I couldn't tell if CT is about prediction of success of interventions, or the interventions themselves.
For context, finding information from Leverage Research about Leverage Research, or their, you know, research, online has often been historically difficult for those who have gone looking for it. It has a tendency to seemingly disappear from the internet, or at least its prior web address, after a couple years. So, while I don't know where one is right now, I intend to scrounge up a link to what CT actually claims. This document was one I hadn't seen before. Since I think I might write something up about CT later, I thought I'd throw up this link now. If/when I find a link to a description of CT, I'll come back here and ping you. I'll probably throw such a link up as another link post.