MixedNuts comments on Martinenaite and Tavenier on cryonics - Less Wrong Discussion
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Saying "Out of the top 10 fatal health problems, at least one will become easy to cure in the medium-term future." is quite fair given this trend. "This particular currently fatal problem will become easy to cure.", much less so.
Right, which gives us "This particular currently fatal problem has at least a one in ten chance of becoming easy to cure" unless we have some reason to think it won't be the one.