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MixedNuts comments on Martinenaite and Tavenier on cryonics - Less Wrong Discussion

17 Post author: ciphergoth 04 August 2011 07:39AM

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Comment author: MixedNuts 04 August 2011 03:03:23PM 12 points [-]

Saying "Out of the top 10 fatal health problems, at least one will become easy to cure in the medium-term future." is quite fair given this trend. "This particular currently fatal problem will become easy to cure.", much less so.

Comment author: ciphergoth 04 August 2011 05:03:04PM 6 points [-]

Right, which gives us "This particular currently fatal problem has at least a one in ten chance of becoming easy to cure" unless we have some reason to think it won't be the one.