fubarobfusco comments on Interesting article about optimism - Less Wrong Discussion
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Full text is here: http://www.fil.ion.ucl.ac.uk/~tsharot/Sharot_NN_11.pdf
(Search technique: Google search for "how unrealistic optimism is maintained in the face of reality pdf"; notice the classic pattern "educational domain followed by ~username" → "probably the researcher's home page")
Article from Nature here