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Andy_McKenzie comments on Stupid Questions Open Thread - Less Wrong Discussion

42 Post author: Costanza 29 December 2011 11:23PM

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Comment author: Andy_McKenzie 30 December 2011 06:31:00PM 0 points [-]

Could I replace "can potentially get you better results" with "will get you better results on average"?

Comment author: TheOtherDave 30 December 2011 08:12:44PM 1 point [-]

Would you accept "will get you better results, all else being equal" instead? I don't have a very clear sense of what we'd be averaging.

Comment author: Andy_McKenzie 30 December 2011 09:00:35PM 0 points [-]

I meant averaging over the possible ways that the environment could change following your exploitation. For example, it's possible that a particular course of exploitation action could shape the environment such that your exploitation strategy actually becomes more valuable upon each iteration. In such a scenario, exploring more after exploiting would be an especially bad decision. So I don't think I can accept "will" without "on average" unless "all else" excludes all of these types of scenarios in which exploring is harmful.

Comment author: TheOtherDave 30 December 2011 10:22:35PM 0 points [-]

OK, understood. Thanks for clarifying.

Hm. I expect that within the set of environments where exploitation can alter the results of what-to-exploit-next calculations, there more possible ways for it to do so such that the right move in the next iteration is further exploration than further exploitation.

So, yeah, I'll accept "will get you better results on average."