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Tetronian comments on Jason Silva on AI safety - Less Wrong Discussion
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Comments (24)
I suspect we have differing expectations about how well-known Silva will become. This isn't a precise prediction, but I believe with ~65% confidence that he is at roughly the peak of his popularity (measured in terms of how frequently his name appears in blogs and major news outlets).
Personally, I would prefer to see fewer posts on x-risk outreach, especially those focused on contacting specific people, and especially when said person isn't very well-known.
I agree resources are well spent reaching out to those with a larger audience. But I would assert that it would take less resources to influence those with a smaller current audience; that the larger one's audience, the more one's current opinions are mentally reinforced.
And, he seems a prime target to be invited to the Singularity Summit, where he'd have hopefully influential social contact with SI folks.
Can I ask why you prefer to see fewer posts on outreach?
That estimate sounds, if anything, a bit low. However, if there is a significant chance he will become very popular in the future, it may still be worthwhile to introduce him those topics now.