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Kawoomba comments on Preventing discussion from being watered down by an "endless September" user influx. - Less Wrong Discussion

14 Post author: Epiphany 02 September 2012 03:46AM

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Comment author: Kawoomba 02 September 2012 05:54:00AM 1 point [-]

921 users joined in September 2011, more than three times the number in the months before and after it. If you happen to know what caused that, I would be very interested in finding out.

Speculative: the Singularity Summit Australia 2011 was held in late August that year during the National Science Week. Then again, could be a case of post hoc, ergo propter hoc. Could be no cause other than the variance chiming in, which is to be expected from time to time.

Comment author: Rhwawn 03 September 2012 12:31:49AM 2 points [-]

What about Methods of Rationality? September 2011 is mid-way through its upswing. I see no easy way to quantify reviews, though, short of manually going through the thousands on FF.net...

Comment author: gwern 09 December 2012 01:40:25AM 0 points [-]

Actually, you might find my http://www.gwern.net/hpmor#analysis useful!

Looking at all reviews posted per day, in September 2011, there does in fact seem to be a large spike in number of posted reviews.

Comment author: Epiphany 02 September 2012 06:47:43AM *  0 points [-]

Thank you Kawoomba, it sounds like an interesting theory. True that correlation is not causation, but maybe if we map other events to the numbers, we will see a pattern. (:

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