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Eliezer_Yudkowsky comments on Update on Kim Suozzi (cancer patient in want of cryonics) - Less Wrong Discussion

45 Post author: ahartell 22 January 2013 09:15AM

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Comment author: Eliezer_Yudkowsky 24 January 2013 05:17:56PM 4 points [-]

Maybe I was absent from the office that day? I hadn't heard Carl's 2083 estimate (I recently asked him in person what the actual median was, and he averaged his last several predictions together to get 2083) until now, and it was indeed outside what I thought was our Aumann-range, hence my surprise.

Comment author: ciphergoth 26 January 2013 03:45:50PM 4 points [-]

It seems like the sort of thing people would plan to do on a day you were going to be in the office.

Comment author: CarlShulman 05 February 2013 08:55:29AM 0 points [-]

We had discussed timelines to this effect last year.