aelephant comments on Exercise isn't necessarily good for people - Less Wrong Discussion
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Related: math.ucla.edu/~scp/publications/mortality.PDF
Thanks.
This may imply some heuristics. Don't trust linear corelations in biology. Don't trust thresholds which are supposed to apply to everyone, or almost everyone. Be dubious about round numbers.
I agree blood pressure is a generally a poor predictor of health or mortality.
This is often measured because it is easy to measure, rather than it being particularly informative.
Aelephant - that's a good paper with data on this. I needed to edit that link to http://www.math.ucla.edu/~scp/publications/mortality.PDF for the pdf download to work.