85%
Most likely alternative is that all the action involving the time-turner is focused on breaking the 6 hour barrier. I'm 97% sure that time turners will be pushed past their previous limits in some way.
If we were making a bet at odds determined by that probability assignment, how would you word the terms? (I ask because you said elsewhere "I don't think TDT will be mentioned explicitly", which might indicate that some of my objections don't apply to what you're actually thinking.)
Evidence: