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philh comments on The Argument from Crisis and Pessimism Bias - Less Wrong Discussion
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I personally suffer approximately zero crime. I was pickpocketed (I think) about a year ago, and nonviolently assaulted the other day, and I don't remember any other instances in two years in London.
If the crime rate is falling, I'm not going to notice that as an effect on me personally. I'm also not likely to notice the effect on me personally if it rises. My opinions about crime overall aren't going to be strongly correlated with my own experiences of it.