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ChristianKl comments on Open thread, Dec. 22 - Dec. 28, 2014 - Less Wrong Discussion

5 Post author: Gondolinian 22 December 2014 02:34AM

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Comment author: ChristianKl 24 December 2014 09:37:56AM 0 points [-]

Instead of "unknown" pick a number. What the percentage that you believe it would work? Then go and calculate expected payoffs based on the price.

Comment author: is4junk 24 December 2014 03:54:01PM 0 points [-]

When I think about it I end up with a bad drake equation for both the 'win' and the 'outcome payoff'. In the drake equation you get to start off with the number of planets in the universe.

When you win is also interesting. Being revived 1 year after death should be worth more then 1m years after death.

Comment author: jkaufman 27 December 2014 11:11:53PM 1 point [-]

Previous discussion of Drake-style equations for cryonics: http://lesswrong.com/lw/fz9

Comment author: is4junk 30 December 2014 03:05:22PM 0 points [-]

Thanks. This is exactly what I was looking for.

Comment author: Lumifer 24 December 2014 04:34:39PM 0 points [-]

Being revived 1 year after death should be worth more then 1m years after death.

Why? If you assume progress, wouldn't you want to be revived into a more advanced society rather than the same old mess?

Comment author: Jiro 24 December 2014 04:38:00PM 0 points [-]

If you're revived 1 year after death the people you care about are probably still around, you probably have useful job skills, you may be able to recover some of your old property, etc.

Comment author: Lumifer 24 December 2014 04:59:27PM -1 points [-]

I understand that. But what you are losing is the chance of being reborn, ahem, in a better place.

It's an interesting choice, driven, I assume, by risk aversion and desire for novelty. Probably different people will choose differently.

Comment author: drethelin 25 December 2014 07:19:12AM 2 points [-]

Not necessarily: Once it's proven that Cryonics works and people can be revived presumably if you can afford it you can just request to be refrozen and then woken up at a later date.

Comment author: wadavis 28 December 2014 10:36:15PM 0 points [-]

This may lead to its own problems

Comment author: NancyLebovitz 24 December 2014 05:56:49PM 0 points [-]

How much use is a better place to you if you can't understand it? I'd rather live through the intervening years so I can grow into the better future.