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gjm comments on Open thread, Feb. 23 - Mar. 1, 2015 - Less Wrong Discussion

3 Post author: MrMind 23 February 2015 08:01AM

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Comment author: gjm 24 February 2015 01:23:38PM 1 point [-]

How certain were you, before, that it was spread by rats?

The thing to lower might be your general confidence in historical information other than what's clearly supported by multiple sources who were in a position to know.

Comment author: NancyLebovitz 24 February 2015 05:04:47PM 0 points [-]

I was sure it was spread by rats-- I didn't see any reason to doubt what everyone seemed to agree on. Unfortunately, poking round online has reminded me of an article I read within the past few years that I haven't been able to find again, which included the point that pigeon coops (in England?) weren't designed to prevent rat depredation, so rats were either absent or not prevalent at the time of the plague there.

This article goes with the gerbil theory, but says that rats probably made a small contribution to spreading plague.

Here's an argument that it was people, not rodents, which spread black plague in England, and suggests that we don't know whether it was bubonic plague or some other disease.