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drethelin comments on Open Thread, Apr. 20 - Apr. 26, 2015 - Less Wrong Discussion
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It doesn't matter if they're in fact just predicting, since you can easily convince the cops that they're threatening.
They convinced you they were predicting. Presumably they can convince the cops as well. Perhaps it's well-established that they're an oracle after they made all that money on the stock market. Then they went into oracle mugging after it was declared insider trading.
The fact that the oracle made money on the stock market in no way implies that there wasn't a causal relationship between the actions of the oracle and future price movements.