ChristianKl comments on Open Thread, Apr. 20 - Apr. 26, 2015 - Less Wrong Discussion
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I don't think that it's specified in the OP that the oracle considers it likely that you will pay or indeed approaches people based on their likelihood to pay.
but it is! it really depends on how many levels of "If I know that the oracle knows that I know" you want to go into. Because if the oracle is able to factor in your decision to pay or not in whether they tell you that you should pay then thats a super-duper-oracle.
Also paying and dying is permissable and not great either.