Well, the statistical criticisms they mention seem less damning than the statistical problems of the average psych paper.
Beyond all that, I found the claimed effects implausibly large. For example, they report that, among women in relationships, 40% in the ovulation period supported Romney, compared to 23% in the non-fertile part of their cycle.
This does seem rather large, unless they specifically targeted undecided swing voters. But its far from the only psych paper with unreasonably large effect size.
Basically, this paper probably actually only constitutes weak evidence, like most of psycology. But it sounds good enough to be published.
Incidentally, I have a thesis in mathematical psychology due in in a few days, in which I (among other things) fail to replicate a paper published in Nature, no matter how hard I massage the data.
Well, the statistical criticisms they mention seem less damning than the statistical problems of the average psych paper.
Talk about faint praise!
But its far from the only psych paper with unreasonably large effect size.
It's far from the only psych paper Gelman has slammed either.
Basically, this paper probably actually only constitutes weak evidence, like most of psycology.
Such volumes of faint praise!
But it sounds good enough to be published.
The work of Ioannidis and others is well-known, and it's clear that the problems he identifies in med...
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