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Gunnar_Zarncke comments on A resolution to the Doomsday Argument. - Less Wrong Discussion

-2 Post author: Eitan_Zohar 24 May 2015 05:58PM

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Comment author: Gunnar_Zarncke 24 May 2015 09:37:50PM 0 points [-]

See LW wiki's Doomsday Argument for reference.

The problem I have with this kind of reasoning is that it causes early reasoners to come to wrong conclusions (though 'on average' the reasoning is most probably true).

Comment author: Unknowns 04 June 2015 07:16:14AM 0 points [-]

Any argument from probabilities will cause unlucky reasoners to come to wrong conclusions, but that doesn't stop us from arguing from probabilities.