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DanielLC comments on A resolution to the Doomsday Argument. - Less Wrong Discussion

-2 Post author: Eitan_Zohar 24 May 2015 05:58PM

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Comment author: DanielLC 29 May 2015 06:25:52AM 1 point [-]

And each one, at one point, was within twenty second of their twenty first birthday.

Yes, but at many more points they were not.

What would you say to someone whose twenty first birthday was less than twenty seconds ago who says "I'm not going to just happen to be in the first twenty seconds"?

I'd tell them that they're even less likely to hallucinate evidence that suggests they are.

Every day, at some point it's noon, to the second. If you looked at your watch and it had a second hand, and it was noon to the second, you'd still find that a pretty big coincidence, wouldn't you?

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