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James_Miller comments on Open Thread, Jul. 6 - Jul. 12, 2015 - Less Wrong Discussion
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I'll give 10:1 odds against this happening. Russia has its own economic problems now with the drop in the price of oil and Ukrainian conflict, and other issues... China might be more likely, though IMO both Russia and China are a scare ploy by the Greeks.
A somewhat likely possibility is: Greece leaves the EU, triggering an economic collapse, possibly followed by a political collapse. Then spends many, many years trying to sort out itself and wishing it had stayed.
For Greece to leave the EU, as opposed to just the Euro, it would really have to anger the other members.