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cousin_it comments on Open Thread, Jul. 27 - Aug 02, 2015 - Less Wrong Discussion

5 Post author: MrMind 27 July 2015 07:16AM

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Comment author: cousin_it 27 July 2015 06:54:34PM *  4 points [-]

Wow, that's a great point. We can't measure anyone's "true" calibration by asking them a specific set of questions, because we're not drawing questions from the same distribution as nature! That's up there with the obvious-in-retrospect point that the placebo effect gets stronger or weaker depending on the size of the placebo group in the experiment. Good work :-)