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ChristianKl comments on Open thread, Sep. 14 - Sep. 20, 2015 - Less Wrong Discussion
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We can remember things we don't believe and believe things we don't remember. Which source of knowledge if a better authority for our expectations and priors?
Before asking that question it's useful to ask why one wants to know priors and what one means with the term. A person with arachnophobia has one a system I level a prior about spiders being dangerous but often doesn't have that one a system II level for small spiders.