Answers to this are going to have to depend on politically sensitive judgements, I think, because most of the impact of politicians on existential risk will be indirect and involve things like the overall prosperity of the nation they're leading. Let's look at some classes of existential risk:
I'm seeing scarcely anything here whose answer doesn't depend on things about which people disagree along political lines.
My own answer to your question is: the difference might be quite large but it's very indirect and complicated, so I see rather little prospect of figuring out which way it goes, so I'm going to carry on voting on the basis of things I actually have (or at least fondly imagine I have) some prospect of understanding. I have (or think I have) some ability to predict, on a timescale of a few years, the effect of one party's victory on my own household finances, the risk of some possible near-future wars, the welfare of poor and vulnerable people, the competitiveness of the nation's businesses, etc., and looking at those is probably more effective than trying to guess their very indirect effects on x-risk.
If it's worth saying, but not worth its own post (even in Discussion), then it goes here.
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