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gjm comments on Open thread, Sep. 28 - Oct. 4, 2015 - Less Wrong Discussion

3 Post author: MrMind 28 September 2015 07:13AM

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Comment author: gjm 29 September 2015 01:59:51PM 3 points [-]

For a better simulation of the interocular trauma from actual climate data, I did the same as above but after finding the best "hiatus" in the 55-year data I extended the data on the left (same ramp, same-distribution white noise) to give us 55 years with that "hiatus" at the end. Here are the results:

I reckon that numbers 4,5,7,8,9,10,12 are about as impressive as the "hiatus" in the actual data. That's just over half.