Who wants to take bets on the current remaining lifespan of the human race as a technological civilization? In this state of information, my inclination is to bet on continued survival for quite some time, at least until such time global warming knocks us to the pre-industrial ages and leaves no resources to recover a hi-tech civilization later (if that happens at all).
I might change my bet if more information is given that shows we're all gonna die very soon, but right now I'd like to see someone take the "death bet" and see what odds we can negotiate.
Or more workably, we should bet on how quickly obviously Unfriendly AI will emerge and begin the destructive acts that will eventually destroy us all.
Step right up, one and all!
Or more workably, we should bet on how quickly obviously Unfriendly AI will emerge and begin the destructive acts that will eventually destroy us all.
I think even if you believe that UFAI will kill us the scenario that there will be obvious UFAI and at the same time a world where a bet like this will be played out is inprobable.
If it's worth saying, but not worth its own post (even in Discussion), then it goes here.
Notes for future OT posters:
1. Please add the 'open_thread' tag.
2. Check if there is an active Open Thread before posting a new one. (Immediately before; refresh the list-of-threads page before posting.)
3. Open Threads should be posted in Discussion, and not Main.
4. Open Threads should start on Monday, and end on Sunday.