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MattG comments on Marketing Rationality - Less Wrong Discussion

28 Post author: Viliam 18 November 2015 01:43PM

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Comment author: [deleted] 19 November 2015 09:31:41PM 3 points [-]

This is not at all obvious to me. If someone tries something, and botches it, then when someone else goes to try that thing they may hear "wait, didn't that fail the last time around?"

This seems like a full general counterargument against trying uncertain things...

Comment author: Vaniver 20 November 2015 04:27:26AM 1 point [-]

Agreed that it's a fully general counterargument. I endorse the underlying point, though, of "evaluate second order effects of success and failure as well as first order effects," and whether or not that point carries the day will depend on the numbers involved.

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