You're looking at Less Wrong's discussion board. This includes all posts, including those that haven't been promoted to the front page yet. For more information, see About Less Wrong.

Dagon comments on Help with understanding some non-standard-LW philosophy viewpoints - Less Wrong Discussion

7 Post author: iarwain1 02 December 2015 03:54PM

You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.

Article Navigation

Comments (47)

Comments (47)

You are viewing a single comment's thread. Show more comments above.

Comment author: Lumifer 02 December 2015 06:15:04PM 1 point [-]

Not looking at the world in a probabilistic way

Note that only the future is probabilistic. The past is fixed, the probability of Putin ordering airstrikes in Syria is 1 -- it happened.

Comment author: Dagon 02 December 2015 07:19:37PM 0 points [-]

Or perhaps the future is also fixed, and it's incomplete models of the universe which are probabilistic. This includes models of the past, present, and future.

I don't know how to get MY model to have a probability of Putin's past actions to 1. I'm not knowledgeable enough to assign less than a hundredth of a percent to possibilities that someone else ordered airstrikes, or it's all fake, or something.

Powered by Reddit Powered by Reddit