You're looking at Less Wrong's discussion board. This includes all posts, including those that haven't been promoted to the front page yet. For more information, see About Less Wrong.

Lumifer comments on Open thread, Dec. 14 - Dec. 20, 2015 - Less Wrong Discussion

4 Post author: MrMind 14 December 2015 08:09AM

You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.

Comments (90)

You are viewing a single comment's thread. Show more comments above.

Comment author: Lumifer 16 December 2015 08:15:51PM *  0 points [-]

Same objection: do such exist? Can you give any examples?

The problem is that the difference between (psychosomatic) placebo and natural healing is just the involvement of the mind. If no natural healing is possible, what kind of magic is the mind doing?

It's easier to exclude placebo -- e.g. if the patient is in a long-term coma, no placebo effects seem to be possible.

Comment author: IlyaShpitser 16 December 2015 09:00:36PM *  3 points [-]

Physical injury, chronic disease.

I meant placebo as baseline effect (from all sources, psychosomatic or statistical), and the falsifiable prediction is it should drastically decrease in situations where regression to the mean should not happen.

Not clear why psychosomatic effects happen, may work in coma. Very clear why regression to the mean happens, well understood issue in sampling from a distribution. So: easier to exclude well-understood thing.


Actually, you can view this as a causal issue, the blog post is really about a type of selection bias, or "confounding by health status."


edit: Lumifer, this is curious. I mentioned chronic disease in my original response. Do you ... parse what people write before you respond?

Comment author: Vaniver 16 December 2015 09:52:17PM *  3 points [-]

I meant placebo as baseline effect (from all sources, psychosomatic or statistical), and the falsifiable prediction is it should drastically decrease in situations where regression to the mean should not happen.

I think the core point of that article (and one I agree with) is that if we want to attribute the 'placebo effect' to medical care, we need to measure not the difference between the patient before and after placebo treatment, but the difference between the after for no treatment and the after for placebo treatment. And so it seems very useful (for determining the social benefit of medicine / homeopathy / etc.) to separate out psychosomatic effects (which are worth paying for) from statistical effects (which aren't worth paying for).

Comment author: IlyaShpitser 16 December 2015 10:30:37PM 2 points [-]

Sure, I agree. If the article is right.