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Lumifer comments on Open Thread, January 4-10, 2016 - Less Wrong Discussion

5 Post author: polymathwannabe 04 January 2016 01:06PM

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Comment author: Lumifer 11 January 2016 10:25:16PM 3 points [-]

economic downturn amounting to at least a recession

You have a 90% probability that this "downturn" will lead to the US stock market losing two thirds of its value which is worse than 2008. That implies a bit more, um, severe event.

it's being implemented at a state level by federal grant, and I believe is intended to eventually operate as a set of interacting state databases

Ah, I know an expression that fits the situation well...

Comment author: OrphanWilde 11 January 2016 11:40:10PM 0 points [-]

You have a 90% probability that this "downturn" will lead to the US stock market losing two thirds of its value which is worse than 2008. That implies a bit more, um, severe event.

Yes.

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