They're separate predictions.
So what? If you hold that
then you necessarily think there's at least a ~63% probability of at least 60% decline and at most a ~7% probability of a decline between 20% and 60%.
(And the real weirdness here, actually, comes from the second prediction more or less on its own.)
the database thing came up in every single ranking
Interesting. Do you have more information?
(And the real weirdness here, actually, comes from the second prediction more or less on its own.)
It's not that weird. Think about predicting the size of the explosion of a factory filled with open barrels of gasoline and oxygen tanks. I think the global economy is filled with the economic equivalent of open barrels of gasoline.
Interesting. Do you have more information?
Not at the moment. It's been literally years since I've done any serious research on global healthcare. (Working in the health industry tends to make you stop wanting to study it as a hobby.)
If it's worth saying, but not worth its own post (even in Discussion), then it goes here.
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