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Lumifer comments on Sleepwalk bias, self-defeating predictions and existential risk - Less Wrong Discussion

5 Post author: Stefan_Schubert 22 April 2016 06:31PM

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Comment author: Lumifer 22 April 2016 07:29:08PM *  7 points [-]

The debt problem in the United States was supposed to destroy the economy. Instead, the deficit is shrinking

Heh. Notice a subtle substitution here :-) The deficit might be shrinking, but the debt keeps on growing.

Also, Scott Adams' list looks like the list of hysterics that a variety of Nervous Nellies threw over the last half a century or so. Media loves declaring a impending disaster for obvious reasons. How many of them were actual slow-moving disasters coming?