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Lumifer comments on Sleepwalk bias, self-defeating predictions and existential risk - Less Wrong Discussion

5 Post author: Stefan_Schubert 22 April 2016 06:31PM

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Comment author: Lumifer 22 April 2016 10:44:28PM 4 points [-]

the disaster did happen despite warnings (I'd argue climate change fits into this category, for example).

<looks around>

Disaster did happen?

Comment author: CellBioGuy 25 April 2016 04:02:51AM *  0 points [-]

It's ongoing with no sign of stopping. See coral reefs, the slowing of the North Atlantic circulation, the fact that the whole southern half of the American Great Plains will dry up and blow away starting in a few decades when the fossil aquifers (the pumping of which is the only thing keeping them from turning to desert at modern temperatures) dry up, etc.

Comment author: Lumifer 25 April 2016 04:51:54AM 2 points [-]

It's ongoing with no sign of stopping.

Let me repeat: disaster did happen?