You're looking at Less Wrong's discussion board. This includes all posts, including those that haven't been promoted to the front page yet. For more information, see About Less Wrong.

ChristianKl comments on Open thread, Jul. 04 - Jul. 10, 2016 - Less Wrong Discussion

4 Post author: MrMind 04 July 2016 07:02AM

You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.

Comments (80)

You are viewing a single comment's thread. Show more comments above.

Comment author: dimensionx 06 July 2016 12:16:53PM 0 points [-]

AI which predicts the future based on an non-existing past. Imagine an algorithm that is able to predict the future in some of direction (social, industry, etc.), and assume that we have a necessary data for this. For example the algorithm creates a different probability model based on these data, modeling the future to 1 year in advance. Let's say what we’ll have created 20 models, including 10 models that have a true probability of 85%. What if on the basis of these 10 future variants, algorithm simulating new probability for 2nd year, then on the following 3 years and other. The philosophy of the system is that the algorithm lives in the present but have accessing data from the past to the simulation of the future, which is created by the analysis of the data has not yet come last. If he has a kind of infinite power, it is able to predict the future for thousands of years in advance, and have the experience even non-existents events.

So, are there any researches of this subject?

Comment author: ChristianKl 07 July 2016 09:26:42AM 0 points [-]

true probability

What does that phrase mean?