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gjm comments on Open thread, Jul. 11 - Jul. 17, 2016 - Less Wrong Discussion

4 Post author: MrMind 11 July 2016 07:09AM

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Comment author: ChristianKl 31 July 2016 04:55:41PM 0 points [-]

Moat-and-bailey. I don't think there was a suggestion in the above post that you meant with probability something that doesn't follow Kolmogorov's axioms and where you can't directly apply Bayes rule. Especially on LW I think it's valuable to call things that don't follow those axioms and therefore aren't what's usually meant with 'probability', 'probability'.

Comment author: gjm 31 July 2016 09:00:57PM -1 points [-]

Moat-and-bailey

I don't normally point out typos (and it's probably better on balance for LW not to be the sort of nitpicky place where everyone does) but this one is (1) almost exactly backwards and (2) sufficiently plausible-sounding to be dangerous :-). It's motte and bailey. The motte is the raised mound with a fortification on it. The moat is the big ditch around the castle, usually filled with water.

Comment author: ChristianKl 01 August 2016 09:50:21AM 2 points [-]

Thanks.

Comment author: Lumifer 01 August 2016 03:59:31PM 0 points [-]

The bailiffs got drunk on Baileys, crossed the moat, and demolished the motte leaving nothing but bay leaves and motes of dust floating in the air...