In two directions: on one side, I thought that the proportion of progressives in US was larger than it has shown to be; on the other, I had a tenet that "things that menace status quo don't happen", so I'll lower the probability on that and change what the current status quo is.
Not all progressives would vote for Hillary (even over Trump).
If it's worth saying, but not worth its own post, then it goes here.
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