This is a linkpost for http://zackmdavis.net/blog/2017/03/dreaming-of-political-bayescraft/
I consider the "(for humans)" parenthetical to be doing a lot of work.
that is a lot of work, and probably should be made explicit that you mean "for typical smartness and goodness of my current peer group". Unless you really mean to deny that "goodness" can be zero or negative, and then becomes far more important than smartness.
should be made explicit that you mean "for typical smartness and goodness of my current peer group".
It turns out that my current peer group does not have a magical monopoly on goodness! It even turns out that being two or three standard deviations from the mean in intelligence does not give us a magical monopoly on goodness! I didn't notice this until very recently!
I think it's a really valuable (if expensive and painful) exercise to spend a lot of time reading the literature of some ideology that you despise, really trying to learn from their...