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jimrandomh comments on Why Bayesians should two-box in a one-shot - Less Wrong Discussion

1 Post author: PhilGoetz 15 December 2017 05:39PM

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Comment author: jimrandomh 16 December 2017 08:27:48PM 1 point [-]

"Omega" is philosophical shorthand for "please accept this part of the thought experiment as a premise". Newcomb's problem isn't supposed to be realistic, it's supposed to isolate a corner-case in reasoning and let us consider it apart from everything else.While it's true that in reality you can't assign probability 1 to Omega being a perfect predictor, the thought experiment nevertheless asks you to do so anyways--because otherwise the underlying issue would be too obscured by irrelevant details to solve it philosophically..