Danfly comments on Fallacies as weak Bayesian evidence - LessWrong

59 Post author: Kaj_Sotala 18 March 2012 03:53AM

You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.

Comments (41)

You are viewing a single comment's thread. Show more comments above.

Comment author: Danfly 01 April 2012 05:12:44PM *  0 points [-]

"One needs to somehow gauge the 'fallaciousness' of opposite fallacies."

Isn't that exactly what the Hahn-Oaksford paper does? I doubt I'm as intelligent as most people on this site, but I was under the impression that this was all about using Bayesian methods to measure the probable "fallaciousness" of certain informal fallacies.

Comment author: Dmytry 01 April 2012 06:09:28PM *  0 points [-]

I think what happens is that informal and fallacious reasoning rapidly (exponentially or super exponentially in number of steps) diverges from making sense, so it's weight as evidence is typically extremely close to zero.