ozziegooen comments on Reference Frames for Expected Value - LessWrong

3 Post author: ozziegooen 16 March 2014 07:22PM

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Comment author: ozziegooen 16 March 2014 11:58:00PM 0 points [-]

I would say this person made a good decision with bad information.

I would agree that they made a good decision, good decision being defined as 'decision which optimizes expected value with information about the outcome'. My point was to clarify what 'good decision' meant.

There are lots of times when it's important to judge people e.g. for hiring or performance reviews.

In this case I was attempting to look at a very simple example (the lottery) so we could make moral claims about individuals. This is different from general performance. On that note though, the question of trying to separate what in an individuals' history they were or were not responsible for would be interesting for hiring or performance reviews, but it definitely is a tricky question.