PhilGoetz comments on "Risk" means surprise - LessWrong

6 Post author: PhilGoetz 22 May 2015 04:47AM

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Comment author: PhilGoetz 22 May 2015 01:29:34PM *  0 points [-]

Something I just noticed: If you click on the graph, it switches to a graph of the probability of survival over time. But that graph doesn't match up at all with the reported numbers. It shows about 16% survival for 100% stocks, and ~0% survival for 50% stocks, 50% bonds.