mwengler comments on "Risk" means surprise - LessWrong
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It is likely that there are no people who are good at timing the market. I am not aware of anybody that is good at timing the market. The best investor in the world, Warren Buffett, does not time the market at all. His high investing returns over more than half a century do suggest he has some credibility when he suggests that no one can time the market successfully.
Why would you expect to be?