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Comment author: Prismattic 26 April 2014 02:58:58AM 1 point [-]

I've noted this before, but I'll repeat it here: If the DC meetup could even occasionally occur on a Saturday afternoon instead of a Sunday afternoon, then I would probably attend. But you've coordinated on a time that never works for me. It's probably advantageous to always meet at the same time from the standpoint of consistency of attendance by the same people, but if you want to expand the number of people attending at least irregularly, variability in time would likely work better.

Comment author: maia 09 May 2014 01:27:26AM *  0 points [-]

Thanks for the feedback! I'll keep this in mind. We sometimes have discussions about changing the structure of meetups, and doing regularly-scheduled day changes might be something to talk about.

I also might be setting up a hiking meetup on a Saturday sometime in the near future; is that something you'd be interested in?

Comment author: JQuinton 22 April 2014 04:13:24AM 1 point [-]

I'm part of the swing and blues dance scene in the Baltimore/DC area. There are a lot of nerdy/intellectual types in this scene so there's really no shortage of finding intelligent people to talk to. And the people I know who fit that type isn't limited to Baltimore/DC; I travel around a lot for dancing (Las Vegas, Montreal, London, etc.) and a lot of the same type of people are in the scene internationally.

I've been doing this for about 10 years so I'm also somewhat well connected. There's almost always some dance party to go to on the weekend in some city that I can drive to.

Comment author: maia 22 April 2014 11:20:31PM 2 points [-]

Lot of DC area people in this thread, it seems. Are you near enough that a plug for the DC LessWrong meetup would make sense? If so: consider attending your local DC LessWrong meetup, because we are cool and you are probably cool.

Also, which swing dances do you tend to go to? I have gotten part of our group together to go to the one on U St. a few times.

Comment author: ChristianKl 22 April 2014 08:43:57PM 0 points [-]

I sort of understand Zendo but what's the point of playing dominion at a LW meetup?

Comment author: maia 22 April 2014 11:16:14PM 1 point [-]

Pretty much just for socializing / fun.

Comment author: palladias 22 April 2014 03:29:01PM 2 points [-]

Because it frequently conflicts with previous commitments and often, when I am free, it is playing board games, which I don't enjoy. No knock on those who do (including most of my friends) but I find them unbearably tedious.

Comment author: maia 22 April 2014 11:15:34PM 1 point [-]

Hmm, okay. What types of meetups would you enjoy?

(I'm asking this as a co-organizer. We try to ask people what they want and accomodate to the degree possible.)

Comment author: palladias 22 April 2014 01:54:18AM 1 point [-]

I live in DC and am an instigator of things (mostly theatre outings, debate, etc). That makes it easy to pull someone into my social circle, since there's usually a movie night, play outing, Shakespeare reading I'm hosting withing the next three weeks to invite them too. (And wanting to be invited to that sort of thing is an excellent filter from my end to see that I will like them).

Comment author: maia 22 April 2014 03:16:05AM 3 points [-]

Obligatory plug: If you want to be even more of a social supernode, why not increase your circle by attending your local DC LessWrong meetup? :-):-)

Comment author: maia 31 March 2014 03:31:28AM 0 points [-]

Typo:

Factors that cut against volunteering have social value

should be "having"

Comment author: maia 26 March 2014 12:42:00AM 1 point [-]

Ehh... As the other commenters are saying, it's unclear how it would promote rationality, or what its Ultimate Effect would be...

But I think you should do it anyway. I'd read it.

Meetup : Washington DC: Robin Hanson visits to talk about giving

0 maia 25 March 2014 05:47PM

Discussion article for the meetup : Washington DC: Robin Hanson visits to talk about giving

WHEN: 30 March 2014 03:00:00PM (-0400)

WHERE: National Portrait Gallery

Robin Hanson will be visiting to discuss the issues involved with giving now vs. giving later (for example, saving up as much money as you can and donating your estate to an effective charity when you die).

As usual, the conversation may drift to whatever folks are most interested in.

Discussion article for the meetup : Washington DC: Robin Hanson visits to talk about giving

Comment author: CCC 03 March 2014 02:03:33PM 6 points [-]

Only about 10 percent of new social programs in fields like education, criminology and social welfare demonstrate statistically significant benefits in RCTs

This is a higher rate than I'd expected. It implies that current policies in these three fields are not really thoroughly thought out, or at least not to the extent that I had expected. It seems that there is substantial room for improvement.

I would have expected perhaps one or two percent.

Comment author: maia 13 March 2014 02:26:35PM 2 points [-]

Remember, you expect 5% to give a statistically significant result just by chance...

Comment author: Barry_Cotter 13 March 2014 07:13:33AM 1 point [-]

In my career coaching work, one of the things I try to teach is how to spot these patterns of which way a market is going. This has some classic signs, and I can give plenty of examples of other industries in which this same pattern took place.

Examples would be appreciated. But this seems to be a case of trying to time the market and the usual objection applies; if you can time the market to within a year you can make huge piles of money. One of the contributors on HN, lsc of prgrmr.com talks about how he was calling the property bubble in the Bay area for years before it popped, and how if he had just got in at the frothy height of the dotcom bubble like everyone else, he'd still be ahead now on property, very far ahead.

Comment author: maia 13 March 2014 12:53:24PM 1 point [-]

I suspect that predicting trends in the pay for a certain career path doesn't need to be that precise in order to be useful. If you can predict the year in which it'll happen, you make huge piles of money. If you can predict the decade in which it'll happen, maybe you can't do that as well, but you could still make a choice to do something else.

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