Alastair Jamieson-Lane
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Alastair Jamieson-Lane has not written any posts yet.
Alastair Jamieson-Lane has not written any posts yet.
SUBMISSION:
"Dear low bandwidth Oracle:
For some reason we have privatized our prison system (great planning us). Of the following K prison running companies, which do you predict will minimize the mean harm weighted reoffending rate of their prisoners over the next four years?"
Utility function: at the end of EIGHT years, calculate the mean harm rated reoffending rate of prisoners released during the initial four year window. The Oracles utility is equal to the negative of this number, with a "Perfect" utility of zero if no one re-offends.
Usefulness:
If you have multiple ways of running prisons, selecting the prison which minimizes future harm seems like a good idea.
In a similar vein, I suspect a... (read more)
EDITED
Submission:
"Dear counterfactual Oracle:
We, the country of X, are about to hold a citizens congress on law Y, in which 100 people selected at random will be brought together for two days every two weeks to discuss law Y with experts, interested parties, and one another. After N such meetings, the citizens congress will use approval voting to select one of the K proposed versions of this law.
Given that none of the voters will ever see the results of this query, how do you predict that the votes will be distributed."
As a concrete example of this type of question, in 2016 Ireland held a citizens congress on abortion.... (read more)
Cool Article, a nice and useful reminder.
Possibly just a quick question.... I remember some years back there being some sort of post on "Why does it seem like all the rationalists here are male?" and.... all the hypothetical people in your post are guys. In particular "Either a person has enough of the rationalist virtues to overcome it, or he doesn't."
Would it be useful to use more gender neutral pronouns? Especially when trying to give examples of persons who expresses rationalist vitures, assuming them to be Male seems.... like it might inadvertently act to exclude people.