In this paper, we make recommendations for how middle powers may band together through a binding international agreement and achieve the goal of preventing the development of ASI, without assuming initial cooperation by superpowers. You can read the paper here: asi-prevention.com In our previous work Modelling the Geopolitics of AI,...
We model how rapid AI development may reshape geopolitics in the absence of international coordination on preventing dangerous AI development. We focus on predicting which strategies would be pursued by superpowers and middle powers and which outcomes would result from them. You can read our paper here: ai-scenarios.com Attempts to...
Expert opinions about future AI development span a wide range, from predictions that we will reach ASI soon and then humanity goes extinct, to predictions that AI progress will plateau soon, resulting in weaker AI that presents much more mundane risks and benefits. However, non-experts often encounter only a single...