Sleeping Julia: Empirical support for thirder argument in the Sleeping Beauty Problem
I've created an emulation of the Sleeping Beauty Problem in the Julia programming language which supports the thirder solution. For those unfamiliar with the problem, I recommend this explanation by Julia Galef: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zL52lG6aNIY In this explanation, I'll briefly explain the current situation with regard to this problem's status in academia,...
Nov 3, 20204
But there is a real, objective probability that can be proven, and it has nothing to do with SB's subjective, anthropic probability. Rather, the number of wakeups is greater than the number of experiments. If we go based on # of experiments (ie, how many experiments does SB entirely win or lose) halfers would be right. If we go per wakeup, then thirders are right.
In the original formulation of the problem, we assume we are on an unknown wakeup and SB should bet. In that case, tails is... (read more)