I think there's two levels of potential protection here. One is a security-like "LLMs must not see this" condition, for which yes, you need to do something that would keep out a human too (though in practice maybe "post only visible to logged-in users" is good enough).
However I also think there's a lower level of protection that's more like "if you give me the choice, on balance I'd prefer for LLMs not to be trained on this", where some failures are OK and imperfect filtering is better than no filtering. The advantage of targeting this level is simply that it's much easier and less obtrusive, so you can do it at a greater scale with a lower cost. I think this is still worth something.
in case anyone else wanted to look this up, it's at https://axrp.net/episode/2024/12/01/episode-39-evan-hubinger-model-organisms-misalignment.html#training-away-sycophancy-subterfuge
FWIW I also tried to start a discussion on some aspects of this at https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/yWdmf2bRXJtqkfSro/should-we-exclude-alignment-research-from-llm-training but it didn't get a lot of eyeballs at the time.
That slides presentation presents me with a "you need access" screen. Is it OK to be public?
You can't always use liability to internalise all the externality because e.g. you can't effectively sue companies for more than they have, and for some companies that stay afloat by regular fundraising rounds, that may not even be that much? like, if they're considering an action that is a coinflip between "we cause some huge liability" and "we triple the value of our company" then it's usually going to be correct from a shareholder perspective to take it, no matter the size of the liability, right?
Criminal law has the ability to increase the deterrent somewhat – probably many people will not accept any amount of money for a significant enough chance of prison – though obviously it's not perfect either
I heard on the grapevine (this PirateSoftware YouTube Short) that Ko-fi offers a similar service to Patreon but cheaper, curious if you prefer Patreon or just weren't aware of Ko-fi
edit: I think the prices in the short are not accurate (maybe outdated?) but I'd guess it still works out cheaper
Even in real-money prediction markets, "how much real money?" is a crucial question for deciding whether to trust the market or not. If you had a tonne of questions and no easy way to find the "forgotten" markets, and each market has (say) 10s-100s of dollars of orders on the book, then the people skilled enough to do the work likely have better ways to turn their time (and capital) into money. For example, I think some of the more niche Betfair markets are probably not worth taking particularly seriously.
I don't think it's reasonable to expect very much from the author, and so I lean away from viewing the lack of citations as something that (meaningfully) weakens the post.
I feel like our expectations of the author and the circumstances of the authorship can inform our opinions of how "blameworthy" the author is for not improving the post in some way, but shouldn't really have any relevance to what changes would be improvements if they occurred. The latter seems to me to purely be a claim about the text of the post, not a claim about the process that wrote it.
xAI has ambitions to compete with OpenAI and DeepMind, but I don't feel like it has the same presence in the AI safety discourse. I don't know anything about its attitude to safety, or how serious a competitor it is. Are there good reasons it doesn't get talked about? Should we be paying it more attention?
For my taste, the apostrophe in "you're" is not confusing because quotations can usually only end on word boundaries.
I think (though not confidently) that any attempt to introduce specific semantics to double vs. single quotes is doomed, though. Such conventions probably won't reach enough adoption that you'll be able to depend on people adhering to or understanding them.
(My convention is that double quotes and single quotes mean the same thing, and you should generally make separately clear if you're not literally quoting someone. I mostly only use single quotes for nesting inside double quotes, although the thing I said above about quote marks only occurring on word boundaries make this a redundant clarification.)
Yeah, that's a strong option, which is why I went around checking + linking all the robots.txt files for the websites I listed above :)
In my other post I discuss the tradeoffs of the different approaches one in particular is that it would be somewhat clumsy to implement post-by-post filters via robots.txt, whereas user-agent filtering can do it just fine.