All of calcsam's Comments + Replies

calcsam00

His parents seem rather judgmental, and typically returning early isn't well received in the Mormon community in general either. Is he in need of people to bounce ideas off of, who understand where he's coming from?

I would be happy to talk to him, or meet him in person if he's still in CA (I'm in the Bay Area). I'm Mormon but have had lots of struggles with my own faith and am quite comfortable talking with (listening to) doubters on their own terms -- or atheists, see any of my LW posts.

If he'd like to talk to me, I don't come here often, but my e-mail is... (read more)

calcsam30

It's good to see someone organize the relevant information and make it actionable. Good job lukeprog and Kaj_Sotala!

0Kaj_Sotala
Thank you!
calcsam00

Thanks. My model is this, though that is more about election than governance.

calcsam10

The main question which is important here: why do you want to learn mathematics?

calcsam110

I suggest reading this Paul Graham essay:

Do you think Shakespeare was gritting his teeth and diligently trying to write Great Literature? Of course not. He was having fun. That's why he's so good.

If you want to do good work, what you need is a great curiosity about a promising question. The critical moment for Einstein was when he looked at Maxwell's equations and said, what the hell is going on here?

It can take years to zero in on a productive question, because it can take years to figure out what a subject is really about....The way to get a big idea t

... (read more)
1Solvent
This is similar to "You don't become great by trying to be great. You become great by wanting to do something, and then doing it so hard that you become great in the process." from xkcd.
2moridinamael
The very first part of this article discusses the value of knowing your options, and I'm beginning to feel that this is a key missing ingredient for productive self-determination and motivation. I tend to systematically under-invest in the discovery of options. I chose an undergraduate major which I believed would provide me the broadest range of options upon graduation. What I had actually done was chosen an undergraduate major which provided a range of parentally approved, high paying, high status job options. I did not know that such a thing as a National Lab existed. I thought that professors just taught courses. Actually, I don't think I had the faintest idea of what Academia was, or even what /science/ actually was. So obviously when I was trying to "broaden my options" I was not thinking about those options. I was thinking about the options that I already knew a lot about. That said, it is impossible to know all the options. The linked article also points out that the job you'll be doing in ten years probably hasn't been invented yet. But I think that you can still find out the /types of work/ that exist. It took me a long time to realize that I hate being told what to do. Some people love being told what to do, and find it comforting and secure to do a clearly delineated job, and to become very good at that job. Sometimes I wish I was like that, but I'm not. I require creative freedom or I lose all motivation. You could call this a character flaw, but I see it simply as a useful fact to know about myself, and something I wish I had known when I was younger. I went to college with a lot of people who fully intended on working just long enough to save enough money to retire, and then they would do what they really wanted to do. I do not possess the amount of discipline and/or delusion required to live my life this way. It sounds like AmagicalFishy doesn't either. Maybe you can self-modify to become someone who enjoys something different than you do now, if
calcsam10

If you are measuring Flesch-Kincaid on Word it often only goes up to 12.0, so if you are getting that for Word, all you know is that you are at the top of the grade-level scale.

When I was an editor for my college newspaper I would show this tool to my writers, and encourage them to aim for like 10 or 9.

0Shmi
I used the online test I linked to...
calcsam40

This might sound obvious, but:

Spending time frequently with different groups of friends with different value systems, each of which (you believe) has an accurate map of different parts of the world.

My experience:

My rationalist friends help me inject more empiricism/anti-happy-death-spiral memes into my church experience; my church friends help me keep other memes like "non-smart people are still worthwhile," "actions perceived as demonstrating character and virtue aren't all just signalling," and of course the "no sex, no drugs&quo... (read more)

9atorm
I grew up a very religious child, and I kept the no-sex meme long after I stopped being religious. Can you explain why you value no-sex purity?
calcsam20

This seems to be the crux of your distinction.

Under the willpower theory, morality means the struggle to consistently implement a known set of rules and actions.

Whereas under the taste theory, morality is a journey to discover and/or create a lifestyle fitting your personal ethical inclinations.

We should not ask "which is right?" but "but how much is each right? In what areas?"

I'm not sure of the answer to that question.

calcsam00

One good study on religion and charitable giving is Arthur C. Brooks, Who Really Cares: The Surprising Truth about Compassionate Conservatism.

2Vaniver
I was under the impression that was a book that quotes lots of studies, rather than actually a study.
calcsam60

Consider Le Corbusier, Robert Moses, etc. These men combined methods which claimed to be scientific. Corbusier tried to maximize population density; Moses, to maximize road construction.

But they were working in very intricate, complicated systems and ignored the effects that maximizing their favorite metric would have on everything else. They dictated everything from the center and ignored local knowledge.

This is what we call dangerous knowledge.

The failure of these methods -- "the projects" housing inspired by Corbusier, Moses's neighborhood de... (read more)

1Hyena
Corbusier, for his part, was actually part of the fashion for science which gains speed in the 19th century. It's about the "aesthetic" of science more than actual science, like how science is depicted in a comic book (for example).
3[anonymous]
I don't really see a focus on aesthetics and intution as a "new" focus, or something that was turned to as a reaction to previous urban planning. I haven't read the previous works, but what seems to set Jacobs apart is that she didn't merely base her judgments on what was aesthetically pleasing - that she actually went out and did basic science, collecting observations and forming a hypothesis that explained them.
2Douglas_Knight
Did Le Corbusier really try to maximize density? Because he utterly failed. While the original post complains about how little Jacobs measured, it was a lot more than Le Corbusier.
calcsam110

[nitpick]

Exchanges are easier to follow if you bold the person speaking.

calcsam200

Also, this is technically not correct:

The FDA is supposed to approve new drugs and procedures if the expected benefits outweigh the expected costs. If they actually did this, the number of people saved by new drugs would be roughly equal to the number killed by them

Actually, if the FDA really did this the marginal -- in this case, most-dangerous -- drug approved should kill as many people as it save. But since every drug before that would save more people as it killed, on net there should be more people saved than killed.

2Solvent
Yay for marginal cost does not equal average cost!
7PhilGoetz
Right - I just logged in to try to fix this, after realizing that if what I originally wrote were true, drugs would have net zero benefit. (An additional complication is that approval of a good drug gives continued benefits indefinitely, while approval of a bad drug does not give continued costs - its badness is found out and it is taken off the market.)
calcsam150

[libertarian alert]

I'm not sure the drug example is a safety problems per se, it looks more like an incentive problem to me.

If an FDA official approves a bad drug that kills 1000 people/year, he probably gets canned. If he rejects a good drug that would have saved 1000 lives/year...well, no one including him will actually know how many lives it would have saved, and he will take his paycheck home and sleep soundly at night.

Can you come up with an example that doesn't involve government?

3Manfred
Additionally, solving the problem of getting people to take the right drugs may be more complicated than just putting out drugs that have a tiny positive expected value. The market is humans, after all, and humans themselves are loss-averse. There are also credibility problems - it's easy to blame the regulators for failures, and so humans do. And so people demand that the regulators be very selective, and so they do. If regulators didn't respond like this, people might behave differently, maybe avoiding new drugs or distrusting doctors.
calcsam30

The rationalist viewpoint seems to add a key point that is missing in the acutal article: the motivation why people would say they desire creativity. Signalling, of course.

calcsam70

You're right, writing concisely is definitely a learned skill.

I became pretty good at it, but that's only through practice and helpful editors at my college student newspaper and a couple of newspaper internships. If you want to improve your professional writing skills, find a place where you can practice and people will point out your flaws so you can improve. LessWrong can definitely serve that function.

Glad you have a thick skin, glad you could start a useful conversation, and hope to see more of you in the future!

1Desrtopa
I've often lamented the fact that colleges so frequently assign papers with excessive minimum page limits when they would better serve their students by applying restrictive maximum page limits. Instead of learning to appreciate conciseness as a virtue and a skill, students come away with the association that a piece of writing must be long to be respectable, a lesson which many, it seems, go on to apply in their careers.
0Owen_Richardson
Thank you, although it's not so much the writing per se as the analysis of the precise structure of the inferential gaps that needed to be bridged. And you'll see lots more of me in the future. I honestly think a big part of the reason I got over my fear of it not being perfect and posted it already was because I'm very lonely, and the case study of the NYC rationalist chapter was the biggest carrot ever. It's not that I'm socially inept. Quite the opposite, when I apply myself. It's just that I get so damn tired of... well, you know, the second paragraph sums it up perfectly already, doesn't it? As to having a thick skin, I was actually pretty depressed the first day I got up and saw the first batch of comments, which seemed very negative, like Alicorn's. "Pretty depressed" as in not able to keep myself from wondering whether my failure to just commit a nice painless suicide already due to my self-preservation instinct was essentially a form of akrasia. (Obviously, past issues exist, and I've been using my informal understanding of REBT to keep myself together, although I think I am "naturally" a very optimistic person.) But I forced myself to confront the question and admit, as I always do, that I do care, and am going to keep on fighting no matter how impossible success seems or how much it seems that I always just end up getting hurt over and over again, so I may as well stop whining to myself and get back to work! So I cheered myself up. And then I got home and saw that the situation was actually pretty damn good (had like 20 upvotes, and a couple very positive messages from a few individuals), so... I don't think I'm going to have a crisis of faith in "the light in the world" ever again.
calcsam30

:The German text of the taped police examination, each page corrected and approved by EIchmann, constitutes a veritable gold mine for a psychologist - provided he is wise enough to understand that the horrible can be not only ludicrous but outright funny. Some of the comedy cannot be conveyed in English, because it lies in Eichmann's heroic fight with the Germna language, which invariably defeats him. It is funny when he speaks, passim, of "winged words" (geflugelte Worte, a Gemran colloquialism of famous quotes from the classics) when we means s... (read more)

calcsam80

Interesting. Very vivid insight into how the hacking was accomplished. A question I have from the outside looking in is about motivation, what makes people want to be poly in the first place?

Alicorn, you said that your primary motivation was MBlume. (Or generalized, 'a specific person.') MBlume, what was your primary motivation?

Other poly people please feel free to reply also.

1[anonymous]
I've actually been poly for most of my adult life. I only ever had two monogamous relationships growing up, one of them an LDR that evaporated when it became clear we weren't going to be able to relocate to be with each other. At this stage in my life I had already heard of polyamory and had grown up vaguely wondering why nobody ever seemed to do it, and suspicious of the general refrain from adults I asked that it was impossible or unethical. It seems to be an instinctive matter of orientation for me -- I love deeply and intensely, but I don't seem to stop forming such connections once I'm in a relationship, and once I started dating other poly people, I never really went back. I find it difficult to conceive of being in a monogamous relationship now; I'm sure there are at least somewhat realistic scenarios where pragmatic factors could cause me to not pursue other relationships, if I were living in such a situation with a single primary partner who wanted monogamy -- but that's not where I find myself today, and I have absolutely no desire to trade my current life for it. I'm also quite sure I wouldn't be as happy, in such a situation, as I am in my current relationship network, and would regret the sense of lost opportunity.
1AmagicalFishy
I'm not poly., but I'd like to be—it seems by far the most functional outlook on relationships. It takes many potential problems with monogamous relationships and completely eliminates them without introducing new problems in their place. It just seems better. I hardly have any relationships as a monogamous person, though, so . . . there's not a lot there for me to be poly, LOL
9WrongBot
I sort of stumbled into poly when I was 17, but I was motivated to continue with it because I frequently found myself dating one person while also being attracted to others. Why deny myself people I want when I could be dating them? If I had to be dishonest or hurt people's feelings or otherwise act unethically to do so, I wouldn't; this is why I'm generally opposed to cheating. Being poly lets me have the relationships I want to have, and it lets the people I love have the relationships they want to have, too.
[anonymous]270

I and my partner sat down as very earnest 16 year olds (23.5 years ago and yes we're still together) because we both agreed we were annoyed by unexamined defaults inherited from society and upbringing. We said we were fine with being monogamous if after careful consideration we decided we wanted it, but we didn't want to just drift into it.

Thus we sat down and spent quite some time cataloging what we thought monogamy would provide us, and how much we valued those things. Week after week we seemed to keep coming back to the conclusion that we didn't actuall... (read more)

3MBlume
Here's a response to roughly that question from when I was just starting out, though I should add that I am now much happier practicing polyamory under a "committed primary" model as described in Alicorn's first and third bullet points in section two.
calcsam00

That is helpful, thanks!

Not necessarily these specific examples, but some complex example.

I'm not sure if I would buy a textbook, but I would definitely read a link. Others likely fall into this category.

calcsam60

Alan Turing used it to decode the German Enigma cipher and arguably save the Allies from losing the Second World War; the U.S. Navy used it to search for a missing H-bomb and to locate Soviet subs; RAND Corporation used it to assess the likelihood of a nuclear accident; and Harvard and Chicago researchers used it to verify the authorship of the Federalist Papers.

I haven't seen any explanation of how these kinds of things were done, including calculations. Eliezer's Intuitive Explanation is good, of course, but the examples are very basic. Anything that ... (read more)

4jsalvatier
Are you looking for Bayesian statistics in general or these specifics examples? My Bayesian statistics textbook recommendation is here.
calcsam30

I would be unable to tell that you weren't a native speaker upon cursory reading, if you didn't mention it.

calcsam40

We have neither the numbers, the organizational skill, nor the social skills to be good at this. There is a joke that organizing libertarians is like herding cats and the same principle seems to be partly true here for the same reason: Lw draws a lot of smart contrarian people. Unless there is a technological way to conquer the world, say the Singularity, but that demands an entirely different organizational strategy, namely channeling all efforts into FAI.

calcsam130

Not feasible. Let's aim for a more modest goal, say, better PR and functional communities.

Moreover, not this community's comparative advantage. Why do we think we'd be any better than anyone else at running the world? And why wouldn't we be subject to free-riders, power-seekers, and rationalists-of-fortune if we started winning?

0Arandur
Functional communities would be nice. I'm not so sure that better PR is the way to go. Why not no PR? Why not subtle induction via existing infrastructure? Let the people who most deserve to be here be the ones who will find us. Let us not go out with blaring trumpet, but with fishing lure.
1PlacidPlatypus
We think we'd be better at running the world because we think rationalists should be better at pretty much everything that benefits from knowing the truth. If we didn't believe that we wouldn't be (aspiring) rationalists. And just because we couldn't do it perfectly doesn't mean we're not better than the alternatives.
0MatthewBaker
What specific concerns make you disagree with its feasibility?
calcsam-20

This thread illustrates my point.

calcsam-20

Oh, that makes sense. I guess we were just using the same word to refer to different things ^.^

calcsam10

the latter requires a lot more effort from the inductee

I object here. I can't comment on all religions, but here are the things we would ask people to do, mandatory if they wanted to join the LDS church:

  • No premarital/extramarital sex (one woman we helped work through a really messy divorce to a man she was separated from and marry her boyfriend who she was living with.)
  • No porn
  • No tea/coffee (and everyone in India is addicted to this)
  • No alcohol
  • No smoking
  • Give tithing, ie, 10% of your income
  • Resolve any job time conflicts so you can come to church
... (read more)
3[anonymous]
You are certainly correct as far as LDS is concerned, but I was thinking more along the lines of reformed religious communities whose social expectations are little more than "attend church every once and a while" and "send your kids to religious school."
calcsam80

The whole reason I'm writing this series is that I believe LessWrong is providing them with value, and I want it to continue doing so. However, if it doesn't grow it will be unable to do so. People have made the comment in regard to specific tactics I suggested that they would cause the group to stop adding value, which I think is a legitimate counterargument. Do you have a specific argument here you would like to outline?

Being this suspicious of the motives of people who come to your group is not a great way to encourage growth, either.

6gjm
1. I don't think this is obvious. 2. If it is true, it isn't clear that anything of the form "if it doesn't grow at least this fast it will be unable to do so" is true, and no one has given any evidence that the LW community needs to adopt the sort of thinking you're advocating here in order to grow at all. No. As I say, what I'm uneasy about is what "the whole thing seems to presuppose". Each individual proposal might perhaps be a good thing to do. The whole package, though, seems like its emphasis is very wrong. Well, I did take pains to mark that comment as a particularly cynical one; in case my meaning in doing so wasn't clear, it was something like "This is probably over-suspicious, but ...". However, note that (1) you've said in so many words that a non-negligible fraction of your motivation (you said 20%) for posting this stuff here is to persuade people to look favourably on Mormonism, so it's already established that it's not true that "the whole reason I'm writing this series" is what you say it is; (2) the LDS presence on LW is really a bit suspicious (it seems to be distinctly more, or at least distinctly more visible, than e.g. that of mainstream Christianity, and I don't think many people here will find it plausible that this is because Mormonism is much more rational than mainstream Christianity; have we perhaps been targetted?); (3) although this may well be unfair, adherents of a religion founded by a con-man (as I think just about everyone outside the LDS who's considered the question thinks it clear that Smith was) are always liable to be viewed with some suspicion. For the avoidance of doubt, I would put Pr(calcsam's intentions here are not entirely honourable) no higher than about 10% -- but not much lower than about 5%, either. Much more likely is that you genuinely intend to offer helpful and beneficial advice, but that the advice is based on thinking that's far out of sync with the values of the LW community. It might none the less happen
calcsam40

That was my parents' reaction, too (at Tortuga). My father is a molecular biology professor.

calcsam40

Shannon Friedman helps host the Tortuga meetups, and she is married to patrissimo.

calcsam00

This could be true, but I don't think so. In my experience, church size is much more strongly influenced by other factors, like how leadership draws the boundary lines between church units, and which geographic area people who are already current members decide to move into. That said, you have the perfect test.

calcsam30

Story resolution: Arandur and I will discuss the Book of Mormon together with an atheist columnist friend of mine, practicing Examining Your Belief's Real Weak Points, Crisis of Faith, etc, etc. Problem solved.

3Desrtopa
It's been a while, has this been carried out by now? If so, how did it go?
calcsam00

I think a lot of learning comes in the assignments here...I have vivid memories of friends pulling all-nighters every night to finish their assignments for this class.

calcsam00

I thought he was on blog-reading hiatus?

2Desrtopa
He stopped participating in the site for a while, but he returned, and his most recent post dates back to four days ago.
calcsam80

Unrelated to the current question but for the sociological record, I would like to point out that there are three Mormons on this blog (me, JohnF, and Arandur), none of us no each other in real life, and I detect no active, believing members of any other religion on LessWrong. (Swimmer963 doesn't believe so she doesn't count.)

If you want to compromise, read Alma 32 verses 21-46, 2 Nephi 2, Alma 7, Alma 42, and Moroni 10. They are probably the most interesting chapters from an intellectual perspective, and total about 8 pages of a 520-page book.

0Arandur
Though from a religious perspective, I'd imagine that you'd want to recommend 3 Nephi, too... Nice to see another Mormon on here! Thought I was alone. :P
4Desrtopa
MrHen is a believing Christian. There have been many others, but I'm not sure how many currently remain.
0[anonymous]
I'm a practicing pastafarian, calcsam.
calcsam80

Active listening: specifically, the restating part; when someone expresses something, replying, "So you're feeling X because of Y." The act of doing this puts you in their shoes because you're trying to put their emotions in your words.

calcsam00

Get it. Thanks. Good question.

calcsam20

Confused, could you elaborate?

5TheOtherDave
My interpretation: you'd suggested improving the accuracy of my guesses about myself by observing recurring patterns of my behavior. I think lessdazed is countersuggesting improving the accuracy of my guesses about people by observing recurring patterns of everyone's behavior. If I'm similar enough to community averages, then lessdazed's approach will work better (thanks to the larger data set); if I'm too dissimilar it will work worse. Thus the question: am I different enough from others to justify looking for patterns only in my own behavior?
calcsam110

Solution: use large N by watching for recurring patterns in oneself, instead of trying to say too much about any particular data point.

4lessdazed
Am I different enough from others to sacrifice the even larger N of everything I observe any person does?
-11SilasBarta
calcsam30

Someone of equal or greater ability who can clearly explain their judgments.

Editors in a formal journalistic setting carry responsibility; if something is difficult to understand, wrong, or badly worded they're on the hook. Whereas a friend is more likely to say 'Oh that's nice' for fear of offending you.

calcsam10

Also, if anyone wants to try this out, I can probably hook you up with one of the internships I did. It's a pretty sweet gig, you will learn a lot with a great editor in a small office. The only qualification is being reasonably intelligent. PM me.

calcsam30

In a nutshell: write a lot for helpful editors.

For two years, several hours a week, I wrote or edited for my college newspaper (The Stanford Daily) and then spent eight months working full-time in journalism internships.

I was exploring a career path but my writing skills ended up far, far better. As one commenter noted, my style tends toward "plain," "simple" and "concise." This is a reflection of my journalistic training.

My newspaper writings.

0FiftyTwo
Interesting, who would you define as a 'helpful' editor? Would it be limited to people with formal journalism skills or would someone of equal ability to yourself be beneficial for the benefit of a fresh eye?
1calcsam
Also, if anyone wants to try this out, I can probably hook you up with one of the internships I did. It's a pretty sweet gig, you will learn a lot with a great editor in a small office. The only qualification is being reasonably intelligent. PM me.
calcsam240

It would be really convenient if rationality, the meme-cluster that we most enjoy and are best-equipped to participate in, also happened to be the best for winning at life.

I think this is the strongest point in the whole argument.

Data point: I brought my parents to a Mountain View LW meetup. My parents aren't religious, and my dad is a biochemist that studies DNA repair mechanisms; they define themselves by their skepticism and emphasis on science. So the perfect target audience. But they seemed unenthusiastic, that it was by and for tech-savvy smart y... (read more)

calcsam70

This looks to me to be a recipe for adhering to a standard set of documents and roles, not a recipe for empirically investigating reality as it is, together with other investigators.

Reasonable. However, this doesn't make it unuseful as an example. The set of instructions on how to run a McDonalds, for example, is an exceedingly efficient piece of, essentially, software. (Which can be seen in how widely it has propagated.) Likewise here.

5EvelynM
The recipe for running a McDonalds wouldn't work for running a design firm. One of them values doing the same thing over and over, and one of them values doing new things and old things in new ways. I think that the recipe you're proposing is more about doing the 'authorized' thing. LessWrong is more about doing the figuring it out thing.
calcsam10

I've been reading Keith Johnstone's book on drama which has some great examples of this. Highly recommended. Since then, from time to time I ask, "What would a high-status person do here?" and do it. Sometimes I want to lower my status and reverse the question.

calcsam40

I should have been more specific.

I think you are right, pertaining to purely intellectual topics such as asymmetric cryptography.

But with social interaction where most of the stuff goes on under the conscious level and we have lots of built-in heuristics, I think being around people who are good at skill X is very useful, as long as you observe them and frequently ask, how did you do that?

0atucker
Also trying it yourself and having them critique afterwards. A mix of theoretical instruction and actual practice seems to be what teaches my unconscious how to do things, from social skills to habits to sports.
calcsam40

Maybe the more pressing problem is not making LW look bad, but that this may not be a particularly effective way to learn social skills.

The easiest way to learn pattern of behavior X is to spend lots of time around people who exhibit a high level of X.

(Social skills, or character traits like generosity or patience, recovery from addictive behaviors, etc.)

It's true that you probably won't learn social skills solely by reading a text in an empty room and then leave it, having fully assimilated the described social skills.

Beyond that -- and not to single you out, of course -- your comments present what I have found to be a widespread, counterproductive misconception. What I have found, instead, is that:

1) Believing that learning a skill you possess requires extensive experience, is the quickest way to "compartmentalize" and weaken your own understanding of the skill, and dull your ability to pass i... (read more)

calcsam-10

Consider intelligence. Different people have different levels of intelligence. A lot of the difference is genetic. Research has progressed far enough that we can approximate the (standard deviation/mean) ratio.

What about altruism?

7PhilGoetz
I was going to say that altruism is harder to measure than intelligence. But then I thought about it, and I don't think that's true. For some reason, our educational systems have never taken the idea of teaching altruism seriously enough to figure out how to measure it. I don't think anybody has ever tried to determine the heritability of altruism, but I don't see why you couldn't.
calcsam20

I am actually reading that book now. Thanks!

calcsam-20

Probably the emphasis on Hinduism, Buddhism, etc are correlated with the amount of time the religion has been around. When William James wrote his landmark treatise, there were like ~300,000 Mormons concentrated in an isolated territory in the American West.

This is a pretty good article on the subject. It is called "Spiritual Experiences as a Basis for Belief and Commitment."

When we approach people who are not LDS and ask them to consider what we have to offer, we don't suggest that we offer a superior theology of axioms and propositions (thou

... (read more)
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