How has these predictions shaken out? How does the growth rate of AI Safety researchers compare between academia & industry?
There may be additional societal and political problems afterwards. But none of those problems actually matter unless the technology works.
What do you think of the argument that "There may be additional technical problems afterwards. But none of those problems actually matter unless we have answers for societal and political problems."?
An alternative future: due to the high rates of failure, we don't end up deploying these machines widely in production setting, just like how autonomous driving had breakthroughs long ago but didn't end up getting widely deployed today.