All of drossbucket's Comments + Replies

Interesting post! I’ve wondered the same thing before.

I’m doing a much more half-arsed version, as a casual quantum foundations enjoyer alongside a technical writing job, and also getting endlessly distracted by other things I find interesting, so my output is not impressive. But it’s a pretty fun hobby and I’m surprised more people don’t try this!

I keep thinking about this post! I've been trying to get back into playing violin on and off, and it does a good job of describing why I've found that so hard. I stopped early on in your fourth stage, and my ear is way ahead of my ability to play anything it actually wants to listen to.

I guess once I join an orchestra I'll enjoy that enough to get some momentum, but solo playing is pretty unrewarding right now.

1Solenoid_Entity
Big +1 to playing with others, especially others around the same level or slightly better or worse. Motivation is one thing, but it's also just... healthier. One's musical 'practice' can't be totally inward-looking, that's when perfectionism starts to bite. Orchestra forces you to compromise and actually learn and perform music, gets you out of the practice room, and generally turbocharges your learning by exposing you to a more varied set of demands on your playing and musicality. Super hard mode is forming a string quartet with others, since your playing is super exposed and it forces you to stay in time and balance your sound with others. 

I’m enjoying this whole series, but this one’s extra relevant because I’m doing something similar right now in a less structured way, so I can pick up some ideas.

I’m working on being able to notice, when talking to people, that I can expand my awareness out to include my surroundings. (The idea is that this gives me space to notice what I feel and have curiosity about what they feel, rather than being locked into ‘polite conversation bot’ mode, but right now just noticing is the important bit.)

I like the noticing timeline, it fits very well with what I’m e... (read more)

2LoganStrohl
Awesome! I'd love to hear about how that experimentation goes, if you feel like reporting back later.

One confusion I wrote down in advance was “I still don’t quite know how to predict that there will not be a simple mathematical apparatus that explains something. Why the motion of the planets, why the game of chance, why not the color of houses in England or the number of hairs on a man’s head?"

I think the main thing I'd look for is an unusual amount of regularity. This comes in two types:

  • Natural regularity: unusual 'spherical cow' type situations like the movement of the planets. Things that are somehow isolated, or where some particular effect stro
... (read more)
3Alexander Gietelink Oldenziel
This is exactly the question that John Wentworth is trying to answer with his abstraction hypothesis framework. Also related to Jaynes proof that probability of a fair coin coming up heads is 1/2. As to being able to discern between different theories. Partly you are right that it can be hard during a scientific controversy and it involves a lot of judgement calls. On the other hand, it can be hard for layman to appreciate how 'rigid' good mathematical models are. Newton didn't just observe that apples fall to the ground but he posited a series of elegant laws and was able to calculate very nonobvious results. The entire theory is quite large and intricate - and there are many quantitive tests one can do and that have been done.
9Ben Pace
Haha! Those poor people. All of my intuitions about probabilities would have been terribly broken in those times.

Thanks for the reply! I also feel like I rely heavily on the audio loop currently, hoping I can boost the visual sketchpad side.

Happened to look this post up again this morning and apparently it's review season, so here goes...

This post inspired me to play around with some very basic visualisation exercises last year. I didn't spend that long on it, but I think of myself as having a very weak visual imagination and this pushed me in the direction of thinking that I could improve this a good deal if I put the work in. It was also fascinating to surface some old visual memories.

I'd be intrigued to know if you've kept using these techniques since writing the post.

3DirectedEvolution
Not strictly as described, but my reliance on visualization has grown with time. I'm currently in a biomedical engineering program, so much of the subject matter is visual. In the past, I would tend to learn by remembering descriptions of things. This didn't work very well, either for understanding or memorization. Now, I read much more slowly, and focus on building a picture in my mind as I go of what the book is describing. Usually, it's more of a cartoon or schematic, which is all that I need. One framework for working memory is that it's composed of two distinct mechanisms: an audio loop and a visual sketchpad. My interpretation is that in the past, I relied almost exclusively on the audio loop, and almost not at all on the visual sketchpad. Now, I use the sketchpad much more than the audio loop. I think it improves my understanding of the material, and that this leads to more robust memory formation as well. I also will spend time, after reading a chunk of material, going over it several times in my mind from memory, to make sure that I understand the relationships between the ideas. However, I no longer think it's a particularly sensible goal to try and build long-term, highly-detailed memories of an entire textbook, just for its own sake. Working in an engineering lab, that's just not how you move things forward. It's good to understand the textbook, know what's in it, and be able to use it as a resource for going deeper when necessary. However, choosing to memorize every detail in a textbook, for its own sake, now strikes me as folly. So is it well worth developing your visualization abilities in service of creativity and the ability to learn and understand? With time, I feel more strongly that this has been, and will continue to be, a high-impact skill for me. Is it worth memorizing a textbook? With time, I have come to feel like this is a bad idea.

Actually this was something that I meant to talk about in the post and forgot. I wasn't expecting that anyone would want to read the resulting posts at all, and I'm pretty sure that I wouldn't enjoy reading this sort of thing very much myself if someone else was producing it, but some people liked them a surprising amount. I don't fully understand what's appealing about them - maybe something about the immediacy of it?

Most of my sample of opinions is coming from twitter, which probably selects for people who can tolerate reading fragmented, disjointed stuf... (read more)

I like this idea a lot. I often do pomodoros but there seems to be a lot of potential for other uses of timers while working.

My favourite version of this advice is Sarah Perry's writing graph (from the Ribbonfarm longform course, I think) - maybe that's one of the places you saw it?

I also ignore it a lot :(

1just_browsing
Yes, that's exactly what I was thinking of! 

I'd like to give this post a second nomination. I'm also trying various experiments in tracking down and listening to hidden/ignored emotions and find other peoples' accounts of this very helpful - it was well worth a reread. I also like the vivid real-life examples.

Thanks! I have been meaning to add a 'start here' page for a while, so that's good to have the extra push :) Seems particularly worthwhile in my case because a) there's no one clear theme and b) I've been trying a lot of low-quality experimental posts this year bc pandemic trashed motivation, so recent posts are not really reflective of my normal output.

For now some of my better posts in the last couple of years might be Cognitive decoupling and banana phones (tracing back the original precursor of Stanovich's idea), The middle distance (a writeup of a use... (read more)

This is only tangentially relevant, but adding it here as some of you might find it interesting:

Venkatesh Rao has an excellent Twitter thread on why most independent research only reaches this kind of initial exploratory level (he tried it for a bit before moving to consulting). It's pretty pessimistic, but there is a somewhat more optimistic follow-up thread on potential new funding models. Key point is that the later stages are just really effortful and time-consuming, in a way that keeps out a lot of people trying to do this as a side project alongside ... (read more)

6Richard_Ngo
Also, I liked your blog post! More generally, I strongly encourage bloggers to have a "best of" page, or something that directs people to good posts. I'd be keen to read more of your posts but have no idea where to start.

Thanks, these links seem great! I think this is a good (if slightly harsh) way of making a similar point to mine:

"I find that autodidacts who haven’t experienced institutional R&D environments have a self-congratulatory low threshold for what they count as research. It’s a bit like vanity publishing or fan fiction. This mismatch doesn’t exist as much in indie art, consulting, game dev etc"

I haven't thought about the bat and ball question specifically very much since writing this post, but I did get a lot of interesting comments and suggestions that have sort of been rolling around my head in background mode ever since. Here's a few I wanted to highlight:

Is the bat and ball question really different to the others? First off, it was interesting to see how much agreement there was with my intuition that the bat and ball question was interestingly different to the other two questions in the CRT. Reading through the comments I count four other p

... (read more)
A possible reason for this is that the intuitive but incorrect answer in (1) is a decent approximation to the correct answer, whereas the common incorrect answers in (2) and (3) are wildly off the correct answer. For (1) I have to explicitly do a calculation to verify the incorrectness of the rapid answer, whereas in (2) and (3) my understanding of the situation immediately rules out the incorrect answers.

I must have missed this comment before, sorry. This is a really interesting point. Just to write it out explicitly,

(1) correct answer: 5, incorrect answ... (read more)

1TheManxLoiner
No need to apologise! I missed your response by even more time... My instinct is that it is because of the relative size of the numbers, not the absolute size. It might be an interesting experiment to see how the intuition varies based on the ratio of the total amount to the difference in amounts: "You have two items whose total cost is £1100 and the difference in price is £X. What is the price of the more expensive item?", where X can be 10p or £1 or £10 or £100 or £500 or £1000. With X=10p, one possible instinct is 'that means they are basically the same price, so the more expensive item is £550 + 10p = £550.10.  

Not quite knitting, but close - you may like this piece by Sarah Perry explaining a spinning metaphor of Wittgenstein's:

And we extend our concept of number as in spinning a thread we twist fibre on fibre. And the strength of the thread does not reside in the fact that some one fibre runs through its whole length, but in the overlapping of many fibres.
5gwern
Wittgenstein has another similar metaphor (Zettel, pg 934):

Just curious, are you planning to migrate blog comments too? I didn't know about Netlify, but it looks very promising for what I want - a mostly static site with some support for storing form submissions - so I'm going to investigate it a bit now.

3[anonymous]
Yeah, Netlify was really easy to set up, so I recommend them! I don't think I'll be able to migrate blog comments because I'm still not sure what I'll do for comments on the new blog, actually. I don't want to use Disqus because it's bulky, other options cost money, so maybe a self-hosted option...
Answer by drossbucket
110

There was a Durham University study running from 2010 to 2013 where they asked the public to record their earworms (I contributed a few).

They suggest a few features that go into a particularly persistent earworm. A couple that stood out to me:

- Simple exposure. Songs that are currently popular tend to predominate. (There is a lot of Lady Gaga in their corpus.)

- A melody in the 'sweet spot' where it's generic enough to be easy to remember and sing but also has some kind of distinctive 'hook' like an unusual interval.

The popularity f... (read more)

Oops, I fixed that in my blog version and then accidentally posted the old draft here. Edited now, thank you!

Ooh, I'd forgotten about that test, and how the beer version was much easier - that would be another good one to read up on.

Answer by drossbucket
460

Not a full answer, but I would expect most of this kind of debate to be in more informal channels rather than journals (as in LiorSuchoy's answer).

Einstein, for example, was a prolific letter writer, and corresponded with many of the great physicists and mathematicians of the day, e.g. Born, Cartan and Schrödinger (from a quick google it looks like the Schrödinger letters are still not published as a collection, so I haven't linked them).

I read the Cartan letters, some time ago. I don't have access to a copy now, but IIRC they get much more ... (read more)

Strangely, it can sometimes also go the other way!

One of my most eye-opening teaching experiences occurred when I was helping a six-year-old who was struggling with basic addition – or so it appeared. She was trying to work through a book that helped her to the concept of addition via various examples such as “If Nellie has three apples and is then given two more, how many apples does she have?” The poor little girl didn’t have a clue.
However, after spending a short time with her I discovered that she could do 3+2 with no problem whatsoever. In fact, she h
... (read more)
1thoughtship
So perhaps the girl you were teaching was a member of the cognitive-decoupling elite you wrote about?  The problems you are explaining in that article are reversed in the early years of school math. That is, a strong use of tangibles to explain concepts. She's encumbered with all the tangible objects preventing her from answering the conceptual question. In later years she'll be freed from tangible objects obscuring the real problem. Math will likely be more intuitive for her and she'll start to soar. And it's at just that point where the rest of us start to flounder.. I wonder if this concept has been discussed from a learning and pedagogy perspective. Seeking to tailor technical subjects to different types of thinkers?

Ah yeah, I meant to make this bit clearer and forgot.

I'm not really sure what to make of that statement you put in italics. The jump in success rate could be down to better trained intuition. It could also be due to better access to formal methods. I don't really see it as good evidence for my guess either way.

If I get more time later I'll edit the post.

Thanks for the explanation!

This is the most compelling argument I've been able to think of too when I've tried before. Feynman has a nice analogue of it within physics in The Character of Physical Law:

... it would have been no use if Newton had simply said, 'I now understand the planets', and for later men to try to compare it with the earth's pull on the moon, and for later men to say 'Maybe what holds the galaxies together is gravitation'. We must try that. You could say 'When you get to the size of the galaxies, since you know nothing about
... (read more)

Thanks for writing this, it's a very concise summary of the parts of LW I've never been able to make sense of, and I'd love to have a better understanding of what makes the ideas in your bullet-pointed list appealing to those who tend towards 'rationality realism'. (It's sort of a background assumption in most LW stuff, so it's hard to find places where it's explicitly justified.)

Also:

What CFAR calls “purple”.

Is there any online reference explaining this?

2Vaniver
This was my attempt to explain the underlying ideas.
6Richard_Ngo
I had a quick look for an online reference to link to before posting this, and couldn't find anything. It's not a particularly complicated theory, though: "purple" ideas are vague, intuitive, pre-theoretic; "orange" ones are explicable, describable and model-able. A lot of AI safety ideas are purple, hence why CFAR tells people not just to ignore them like they would in many technical contexts. I'll publish a follow-up post with arguments for and against realism about rationality.

Side note, but I really appreciated the bolded sentences marking the start and end of the 'tiring symbolic reasoning' section.

I normally give up on posts on this sort of topic precisely because I can see that I'm getting into an unknown amount of unpleasant mental effort holding all the "he said she said she said"s in my head at once. This time I could quickly gauge how much of that stuff there was, and it looked manageable, so I persevered.

I'm happy to answer questions, as I always like rambling about boring implementation details! I mentioned that I fancied trying this on Twitter and got a few takers. Right now I'm going for a pretty low tech approach where I just email it out - I write each one in a Google Doc and then paste it into Gmail and hope the formatting doesn't mess up too much. I could definitely improve this!

I have another Google Doc going throughout the month where I make brief notes on what I've been reading or thinking about, any useful links, etc, so that... (read more)

Update: I've done four of these now and have really enjoyed it. It works brilliantly for motivating me to keep a record of what I'm doing, and I've had some great followup conversations too. Thanks very much for introducing me to the idea!

7moridinamael
Awesome! May I ask how you're going about it? Sending to a small group of friends or keeping it to yourself, what software you're using, how long the entries end up being? Just curious.

my name is Dross,

and wen i see

the shiyning text

leap out at me,

i look at wot

it tels my hed -

i read the rules.

i like the red.

No, I also definitely wouldn't lump mathematical analysis in with algebra... I've edited the post now as that was confusing, also see this reply.

Your 'how much we know about the objects' distinction is a good one and I'll think about it.

Also vim over emacs for me, though I'm not actually great at either. I've never used Lisp or Haskell so can't say. Objects aren't distasteful for me in themselves, and I find Javascript-style prototypal inheritance fits my head well (it's concrete-to-abstract, 'examples... (read more)

I just start gnawing on the corn cob somewhere at random, like the horrible physicist I am :) But the 'analysis' style makes more sense to me of the two, it had never even occurred to me that you could eat corn in the 'algebra' style.

I also think about linear algebra in a very visual way. I'm missing that for a lot of group theory, which was presented to us in a very 'memorise this random pile of definitions' way. Some time I want to go back and fix this... when I can get it to the top of the very large pile of things I want to learn.

Ah, that probably needs clarifying... I was using 'analysis' in the sense of 'opposed to synthesis' as one of the dichotomies, rather than the mathematical sense of 'analysis'. I.e. 'breaking into parts' as opposed to 'building up'. That's pretty confusing when one of the other dichotomies is algebra/geometry!

I agree that algebra and (mathematical) analysis are pretty different and I wouldn't particularly lump them together. I'd personally probably lump it with geometry over algebra if I had to pick, but that's likely to be a feature of how I learn and really it's pretty different to either.

Thanks for writing this up! I was interested last time you mentioned it somewhere, and this time you've motivated me enough that I'm going to try it for a couple of months.

Update: I've done four of these now and have really enjoyed it. It works brilliantly for motivating me to keep a record of what I'm doing, and I've had some great followup conversations too. Thanks very much for introducing me to the idea!

I also identify more with the elephant, which I (probably unhelpfully) think of as the one that 'actually does maths and physics', in the sense of gaining insights into problems and building intuitive understanding.

I (also probably unhelpfully) think of the rider as a more of a sort of dull bean counter who verifies the steps in my reasoning are correct afterwards, and ruins my fun for some of my wilder flights of fancy.

I'm slowly learning to like the rider more - it's doing more than I give it credit for.

Probably some of the issue is t... (read more)

I like this and agree that this thing deserves its own name. In my own head (you may not agree) this view often also includes ideas like 'explicit formal metrics often get Goodhart-ed into useless cargo cults, top-down rational plans often erase illegible local wisdom', etc. The kind of cluster people seem to get from Seeing Like A State, The Great Transformation, etc. (I've never read either of those myself though.)

To my mind this cluster is something like 'pomo ideas grafted on analytic rootstock', rather than the normal continen... (read more)

2Gordon Seidoh Worley
Yep, that's what I'm aiming at in my other comment: there's a fundamental problem with the epistemologies of modernism in that they assume the possibility of perfect knowledge of that which cannot be perfectly known, and it is especially complicated when modernism tries to focus on empericism yet also assumes empericism can grant objective knowledge. Postmodernism fails in other ways, specifically by undervaluing the intersubjective and the way it suggests the existence of stuff prior to observation. Skeptical modernism seems to be moving in the right direction but, as you say, doesn't seem to be paying enough attention to phenomenology and as such is addressing what I said were the surface level problems with modernism while missing the deeper epistemological issue.
1Chris_Leong
Goodhart's law and an awareness of metis are definitely in the same cluster. 'pomo ideas grafted on analytic rootstock' is a great summary of what it is.

I would also be interested in this! I saw a use for it within about an hour of reading the post, when I did something stupid and easily fixable with a bit of thought. I just wrote the problem into a gmail draft, but if doing this turns out to be useful I'll try something more structured.

I'm in Bristol! No idea if anyone else is.

There are some great questions at the end of your posts and it's a bit of a shame you haven't had much uptake on them. It would be a lot of work to do many of these (which is why they're good questions!), but I'll have a go at your 'slipping through the cracks' question and do a worked example. Mine is also to do with making appointments.

I thought I did have a good system. I set a lot of Google Calendar email reminders and normally turn up to things with no problems. But actually I screwed up unusually badly twice last year a... (read more)

I've been reading through this series this week based on seeing your review posts, and have enjoyed it, so thanks! I think this was my favourite of the series, maybe because it covers things I was already thinking about anyway (but also the sentry part was really interesting).

I'm really not a natural at operationalising things, but have come to appreciate it in the last couple of years, mainly through accidentally ending up in a job that's quite ops-heavy and realising I badly needed to get better at it. I like the tone of 'this stuff ... (read more)

2Hazard
Yes! I've had a variation of this thought before, but it never fully got out into a concrete form. This feels very true. I don't currently go for a morning walk, but I feel like it would be one of the best "Things I can easily do, by the end of which I will be more awake."

If I was asked any question of the form 'what's the least impressive X that you are very confident cannot be done in the next Y years?', I would hesitate for a long time because it would take me a long time to parse the sentence and work out what a reply would even consist of.

I think that I am unusually dumb at parsing abstract sentences like this, so that may not apply to any people on the panel, but I'm not certain of that. (I have a physics PhD, so being dumb at parsing abstract sentences hasn't excluded me from quantitative fie

... (read more)

Thanks for replying! I think I was expecting a link post to behave somewhat differently, i.e. take you to a summary page with comments rather than straight off the site. I will crosspost manually in future if I have anything that I feel would be a good fit (also I think the process of manually crossposting might have been enough for me to realise that this specific link was not a great fit).

I've posted on the frontpage as a linkpost (included explanation but appears not to show currently), let me know if I should do something different in future.

1Gordon Seidoh Worley
I think that seems like the right way to do it: link post to the frontpage. If you don't mark for something to go on the frontpage it will basically be undiscoverable unless you give someone the link or they go looking really hard for the post.

Hi, I just wrote a post and was planning on publishing it here. I wanted to check a couple of things first though, as I haven't posted on old or new LW before:

  1. Should I post this to the front page or just to my page?

  2. What's the preferred way of reposting something from elsewhere? Just the link, link with some explanation, or reposting the whole lot here? (I'm happy to do any of these.)

Sorry if I've missed some other post that explains these things.

1habryka
The preferred way is to crosspost the whole content, which I will try to make a bit easier in the future (i.e. by allowing you to automatically import the content of a link, when that's easily doable)
1drossbucket
I've posted on the frontpage as a linkpost (included explanation but appears not to show currently), let me know if I should do something different in future.

My second supervisor for my PhD was a big fan of this short essay by David Mermin, which you might like. He got all the new students to read it, and insisted on us always following the three rules there:

Rule 1: Number all your equations.

Rule 2: When referring back to an equation, identify it with a phrase as well as a number so the reader knows what you're talking about.

Rule 3: Punctuate equations like prose.

Good advice for helping the reader along.

I'm a pretty monologuey person myself but still recognise this 'thinking on the page' thing. It's a good way to describe it. I get into a state where I'm just writing... stuff... because it's 'there in my head' for some reason, but doesn't feel like it particularly corresponds to anything.

I've always found the advice you get from the old 'close reading' style of criticism useful for getting out of this state, the kind of thing you'd find in, say, Orwell's Politics and the English Languag

... (read more)
1whales
I appreciate this perspective! My first instinct is to zoom out from stock phrases to entire ideas or arguments while drafting (when everything is working well, sentences or paragraphs get translated atomically like this), then use 'close reading' as an editing tactic. But you're right that zooming in to find the exact word when stuck on the page can also be very focusing (as it were). And there's a lot of room for interplay between the two approaches, as far as there's even a clean separation between self-expression and self-editing in the first place.

Hm, I think people vary a lot on this. I like to have a blurred outline of a thing before I fill in detailed steps; I find it painful and frustrating to be dragged through detailed logical steps without that context. I find mimesis is good for producing the blurred outline.

Agreed that classes also often go way too fast. University intro maths courses (in the UK at least) are often pretty terrible for this. But I have no problem in principle with people learning a mix of syntax and substance at the same time.

I like this, but I don't think mimesis is always a bad thing, at all. It's often a useful stage on the route to deeper understanding. You see this in teaching sometimes: you're trying to teach the cross product, but they're learning that they need to underline their vectors, and that they should put some punctuation and explanatory words between their equations so another person can follow the argument. Eventually they will definitely need to learn both sets of things, but if you just get back vector salad with explanatory words interpolated between it the... (read more)

2Benquo
If I were against mimesis and perceptual learning, I'd have to be against babies, but babies are good. It makes sense that people who haven't learned the syntax at all might have to learn that before learning substance. But it sounds like the sort of pedagogy you're describing is trying to pretend to teach things much faster than most of the students are ready for.

I like the sound of the monthly journalling thing - normally I see reviewing included in these things as some kind of virtuous-but-dull thing people make themselves sit down to do at the end of the week or whatever, and it sounds so unappealing I can never be bothered to even try it. Your version sounds pretty enjoyable.

3moridinamael
In that case, I'll add the detail that I use a Blogger blog and grant specific permissions to my friends, and then email them letting them know when a new entry is posted. I also always try to post "discussion questions" at the end of my entries, where I prompt them for feedback on whatever it was I was thinking about that month. This greatly increases the odds that they actually post comments and then we can have a discussion. It's much more fun when there's two-way communication.

Cool, I like these sorts of lists! Here's mine:

  1. (Mostly) giving up caffeine. 7 points, ~5 years. Much easier to get up in the morning. I have a single cup of tea maybe once or twice a month if I feel like I need waking up more, and that's enough to do the job now. Best used in combination with another elite lifehack, highly recommended if you can manage it:

  2. Getting enough sleep. 7 points, ~5 years.

  3. Pomodoros. 8 points, ~9 months. Really excellent and not sure why I resisted the idea so long. Turns out lots of half hour blocks really add up, and it's si

... (read more)
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