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Nominated Posts for the 2019 Review

Posts need at least 2 nominations to continue into the Review Phase.
Nominate posts that you have personally found useful and important.
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49How common is it for one entity to have a 3+ year technological lead on its nearest competitor?
QΩ
Daniel Kokotajlo
6y
QΩ
20
1 • 0
122What Comes After Epistemic Spot Checks?
Elizabeth
6y
9
1 • 0
52"The Bitter Lesson", an article about compute vs human knowledge in AI
the gears to ascension
6y
14
1 • 0
66Combat vs Nurture & Meta-Contrarianism
abramdemski
6y
12
1 • 0
91What I've Learned From My Parents' Arranged Marriage
squidious
6y
16
1 • 0
70Reneging prosocially by Duncan Sabien
philip_b
6y
5
1 • 0
65AGI will drastically increase economies of scale
Ω
Wei Dai
6y
Ω
26
1 • 0
92Reframing the evolutionary benefit of sex
paulfchristiano
6y
21
1 • 0
101The LessWrong 2018 Review
Raemon
6y
91
1 • 0
67Separation of Concerns
abramdemski
6y
30
1 • 0
32Calibrating With Cards
[anonymous]6y
3
1 • 0
147Integrating disagreeing subagents
Kaj_Sotala
6y
15
1 • 0
54Perfect Competition
Zvi
6y
29
1 • 0
113CO2 Stripper Postmortem Thoughts
Diffractor
6y
37
1 • 0
170Jeff Hawkins on neuromorphic AGI within 20 years
Steven Byrnes
6y
24
1 • 0
95Naked mole-rats: A case study in biological weirdness
eukaryote
6y
14
1 • 0
61Book Review: Why Are The Prices So Damn High?
sarahconstantin
6y
7
1 • 0
82Misconceptions about continuous takeoff
Ω
Matthew Barnett
6y
Ω
38
1 • 0
44Self-consciousness wants to make everything about itself
jessicata
6y
70
1 • 0
159The Commitment Races problem
Ω
Daniel Kokotajlo
6y
Ω
56
1 • 0
533 Cultural Infrastructure Ideas from MAPLE
Unreal
6y
15
1 • 0
73Imperfect Competition
Zvi
6y
8
1 • 0
74Moral Mazes and Short Termism
Zvi
6y
21
1 • 0
87Two explanations for variation in human abilities
Matthew Barnett
6y
28
2 • 1
232Mistakes with Conservation of Expected Evidence
abramdemski
6y
29
2 • 1
166The Schelling Choice is "Rabbit", not "Stag"
Raemon
6y
52
2 • 3
183human psycholinguists: a critical appraisal
nostalgebraist
5y
59
2 • 2
175Selection vs Control
Ω
abramdemski
6y
Ω
26
2 • 2
87Neural Annealing: Toward a Neural Theory of Everything (crosspost)
Michael Edward Johnson
6y
29
2 • 3
118The Hard Work of Translation (Buddhism)
romeostevensit
6y
139
2 • 3
72Classifying specification problems as variants of Goodhart's Law
Ω
Vika
6y
Ω
5
2 • 1
82Approval Extraction Advertised as Production
Benquo
6y
39
2 • 3
134Propagating Facts into Aesthetics
Raemon
6y
38
2 • 1
87Bioinfohazards
Spiracular
6y
14
2 • 2
79How Much is Your Time Worth?
lynettebye
6y
22
2 • 1
87But exactly how complex and fragile?
Ω
KatjaGrace
6y
Ω
32
2 • 1
61Dishonest Update Reporting
Zvi
6y
27
2 • 2
225Rest Days vs Recovery Days
Unreal
6y
36
2 • 1
60Dual Wielding
Zvi
6y
23
2 • 3
171Integrity and accountability are core parts of rationality
habryka
6y
68
2 • 1
98Reframing Impact
Ω
TurnTrout
5y
Ω
15
2 • 1
55Megaproject management
ryan_b
6y
11
2 • 1
181Book Summary: Consciousness and the Brain
Kaj_Sotala
6y
20
2 • 1
122Reframing Superintelligence: Comprehensive AI Services as General Intelligence
Ω
Rohin Shah
6y
Ω
77
2 • 2
208Chris Olah’s views on AGI safety
Ω
evhub
6y
Ω
40
2 • 2
221Debate on Instrumental Convergence between LeCun, Russell, Bengio, Zador, and More
Ω
Ben Pace
6y
Ω
61
2 • 2
103Total horse takeover
KatjaGrace
6y
14
2 • 1
167Make more land
jefftk
6y
36
2 • 5
70What determines the balance between intelligence signaling and virtue signaling?
Q
Wei Dai, Jacob Falkovich
6y
Q
37
2 • 0
107Gradient hacking
Ω
evhub
6y
Ω
39
2 • 2
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2019 Review Discussion

Moloch Hasn’t Won
191
Zvi
6y

This post begins the Immoral Mazes sequence. See introduction for an overview of the plan. Before we get to the mazes, we need some background first.

Meditations on Moloch

Consider Scott Alexander’s Meditations on Moloch. I will summarize here. 

Therein lie fourteen scenarios where participants can be caught in bad equilibria.

  1. In an iterated prisoner’s dilemma, two players keep playing defect.
  2. In a dollar auction, participants massively overpay.
  3. A group of fisherman fail to coordinate on using filters that efficiently benefit the group, because they can’t punish those who don’t profi by not using the filters.
  4. Rats are caught in a permanent Malthusian trap where only those who do nothing but compete and consume survive. All others are outcompeted.
  5. Capitalists serve a perfectly competitive market, and cannot pay a living wage.
  6. The tying of all good
...
(Continue Reading – 1954 more words)
Purplehermann1d10

Eris thwarts Moloch 

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